HCR Update from Mark Sanna: Medicare changes in the deficit reduction plan championed by House Budget Committee Chairman Paul D. Ryan, R-Wis., will be a bigger issue in the 2012 election campaign than the health care overhaul law, Republican pollster William McInturff predicted in an appearance Tuesday. That’s a big plus for Democrats McInturff said — but he nevertheless predicted that the GOP would retain control of the House and said the party may gain narrow control of the Senate.